Out of stock (OOS) is a common phenomena in the fast moving consumer goods
(FMCG) market. A study conducted by the National Association of Convenience Stores in the
U.S. showed that consumers would typically stop shopping at a certain store after
encountering the "out-of-stock problem" for an average of 2.4 times.
The local FMCG sector agrees with the findings. ECR Hong Kong, the local
retailers, distributors and manufacturers league in the FMCG industry, kicked started
their own industry-wide OOS study in 2002 to examine the stock levels at retail outlets.
The study aims to establish a standard OOS definition, to provide data indicating OOS at
retail level on a weekly basis, to establish a local OOS benchmark, and to promote
co-operation between suppliers and retailers.
Originally designed as a half-year project, the Hong Kong OOS study has
now become an on-going project with the backing of the industry and has so far yielded
some interesting findings.
Outlet Types Different types of outlets have
their own areas of expertise as reflected by their OOS levels of different product
categories. In general, supermarkets were comparatively better in maintaining stocks of
grocery and household items, convenience stores in alcohol and drug stores in baby items
and toiletries.
Product Categories A 24-week trend showed
improvement and convergence for product categories like alcohol, toiletries and beverages.
Some individual lifestyle items displayed supply problems.
Brands Performance Certain brands demonstrated high
OOS levels for bread, dog food, lifestyle groceries, ice cream, snacks and beverages.
Sponsored Lines vs Non-Sponsored Lines Sponsored lines
stood up better than non-sponsored lines. This implies that items with visible shared data
received extra attention and lowered the OOS level when compared to those with information
withheld. In fact, since the launch of the study in 2002, by February 2003, the OOS level
among participating retailers dropped to 1.6 percent from the original 4.5 percent.
There are a number of underlying causes which lead to OOS in Hong Kong,
the most common of which are: too many items on shelves, inefficient refill, delayed
ordering, supply problems in-direct store delivery and cross-boundary delivery,
fluctuating demand due to sporadic promotional sales and inaccurate forecasting.
Another study by IBM Consulting
(previously PWC Consulting), narrowed down the cause of product unavailability to three
root causes: the product did not get to the store; the product got to the store, but did
not get to the shelf; and the product got to the shelf, but was not recognised as a sale.
The study found that upstream supply chain issues only contributed between
12 percent and 15 percent of the OOS problem, with the prime problems being in the
backroom of retail outlets -- the last fifty feet of the value chain.
Improving product visibility through the use of automatic data capturing
and inventory control systems would help alleviate this problem. By closely monitoring the
quantity and whereabouts of goods down to shelf level, retailers can activate the
replenishment process before running out of stock. Such systems also help in optimising
inventory level and freeing up cash flow, which benefits both consumers and retailers.