TRENDS
February 2004 Issue

| Grade A Office Vacancy Rate Falls to 12.5 Percent |
Continued
demand for prime office space in Central helped push the vacancy rate down from 16.2
percent in September 2003 to 14.7 percent in December. Overall, the vacancy rate for grade
A offices fell to 12.5 percent in December, compared to 13.2 percent three months earlier,
says real estate consultancy Knight Frank. Fringe Central office prices averaged HK$3,616
per square foot in December, representing a jump of almost 16 percent. Increases were also
witnessed in Wanchai and Tsimshatsui. More
>>
| Office Market Indicators |
District Net |
Effective Rent |
Change Over |
|
(HK$psf/month) |
Quarter |
Year |
| Core Central
|
18.92 |
-0.4% |
-28.5% |
| Fringe
Central
|
16.44 |
-0.6% |
-17.2% |
| Wanchai/Causeway
Bay
|
14.54 |
-1.9% |
-17.2% |
| North
Point
|
10.79 |
0.0% |
-14.8% |
| Quarry
Bay
|
12.10 |
3.2% |
-18.5% |
| Tsimshatsui
|
14.96 |
0.5% |
-8.1% |
| Source:
Knight Frank HK |
|
|
|
Hong Kong Economy Back On Track? |
The
Better Hong Kong Foundation's economic outlook for Hong Kong in 2004 puts GDP growth for
the year at 6.7 percent on the heels of an estimated 3.3 percent growth in 2003. Professor
Francis Lui, Director of the Center for Economic Development, forecasts export growth for
the full year of 2003 to be around 11.4 percent, and 10.4 percent for 2004. The Foundation
predicts unemployment in 2004 to average 7 percent. Barring any slowdown in the economy,
he predicts that deflation will disappear in the third quarter. More >>
Top Technology Trends For 2004 |
Growth for
Linux and offshore outsourcing are predicted to be the top two IT trends in 2004,
according to Forrester Research. It also sees in its crystal ball that IT will play a
bigger role in measuring corporate performance, and that the telecom industry will finally
start to recover. Technology adoption will accelerate in health plans, care providers, and
life science firms; change the way travel companies solve business problems; and grow in
consumer packed goods companies. In addition, broadband growth and device proliferation
will create clear winners and losers in the consumer devices market. More
>>
| Consumer Confidence Perks Up |
Hong Kong consumers are among the most optimistic in Asia, with consumer
sentiment being high on all five economic factors -- employment, economy, regular income,
stock market and quality of life -- MasterCard's Consumer Confidence Survey shows. Hong
Kong's MasterIndex score of 81.1 is its second highest on record, more than three times
higher than 23.2 six months ago and the gloomy 21.3 score a year ago. The territory's
latest score in this bi-annual survey is slightly higher than Australia's 80.9 score, but
slightly lower than China's 83.7. Thais are apparently the most optimistic lot in Asia,
with a score of 95.1. More >>
|