CHINA ECONOMIC UPDATE
February 2004 Issue

China Tax Reforms Underway
The latest round of tax reforms on the Mainland
could mean lower duties for those doing business in China, writes RUBY ZHU
Buffered by a surge in tax revenues, which
jumped 20.3 percent last year, the Central Government in October issued a new plan to
reform China's export tax rebate system. China
generally overhauls its tax system every decade, with past reforms taking place in 1983
and 1994. This year, China is starting to review its tax system, but unlike previous
changes, this round of tax reform will be implemented in stages to minimise the impact on
businesses.
New export tax rebate policy
In the
September 2003 issue of The Bulletin, we mentioned that China
would adopt a new export tax policy. Under the plan, tax rebates owed in 2002 and 2003
were scheduled to be paid off by January 15 and the end of May this year respectively. However, the Ministry of Finance has yet to
finalise the details. Since the government is far behind on its rebate payments,
commercial banks must offer enterprises short-term working capital loans guaranteed by
their export tax rebates receivables. The Central Government must pay full interest on
such loans from 2004, but exactly how this will work is still unclear.
The Central Government will cover 75 percent of
the loans while local governments will pay 25 percent. Under the old policy, local
governments got 25 percent of the value-added tax receipts, but the Central Government had
to pay 100 percent of export tax refunds, resulting in a transfer of wealth from the
Central Government to the local governments. Similarly, as production processes generally
take place outside of export ports, some local governments may have been getting more than
they were entitled to. This is because
governments can levy VAT on goods produced in factories under their jurisdiction, but port
governments have to refund 25 percent of the export tax. As a result, various local
governments may adopt new protective measures, such as defaulting on export tax rebates or
restricting exports to protect their interests.
Many firms will be affected by the new policy,
and as problems usually arise at the time when a new policy is implem-ented, Hong Kong
businesses should keep a close watch on these developments.
Farmers
to pay less tax
The
Central Government further reformed China's tax system last month by waiving the
special agricultural product tax and lowering the average agriculture tax rate from 8.4
percent to 7.4 percent. Although agriculture tax revenues account for just 5 percent of
the total, the move will ease the financial burden on the country's 900 million farmers,
narrowing the income gap between farmers and urban dwellers and strengthening farmers'
purchasing power. As a result, the low-end
consumer goods market may further expand this year.
Changes to VAT
Value-added
tax accounts for a third of China's tax revenues, but it has long been a
headache for many Hong Kong businesses. As
part of its reforms, the Central Government will impose a consumption-oriented VAT on
eight sectors in the northeastern industrial base of the country. This will allow
companies to offset the tax paid on the production of new fixed assets as well as
non-fixed assets. The move will reduce
China's tax revenues to a certain extent, but will relieve the financial burden on
enterprises.
What should be noted, however, is that the VAT
on imports remains unchanged, and the new consumption-oriented VAT is limited to northeast
China at this stage. Hong Kong businesses having investments in other parts of the country
will not benefit from this measure until next year.
Corporate and personal income taxes
Changes
to these two taxes will affect Hong Kong enterprises. Details have yet to be unveiled, but
the Central Government has made it clear that it plans to gradually unify corporate income
tax for domestic and foreign enterprises. This means that foreign enterprises will lose
their preferential tax perks. However, as the new unified tax rate may be lower than the
current tax rate of 33 percent, it is believed that foreign investors will not change
their plans to go into China. The threshold for personal income tax will also be raised,
but whether the tax rate on high-income earners will be changed remains a concern.
On the whole, the new round of tax reforms
looks like lower tax rates for doing business in China. In 2003, China's tax revenues grew
20 percent, far higher than its GDP growth rate of 8.5 percent. Instead of causing China
financial difficulties, the new tax relief package will further drive the nation's
eco-nomic growth.
Ruby Zhu is the Chamber's China
Economist. She can be reached at, ruby@chamber.org.hk |