The Mainland has taken a number of concrete steps towards its
WTO commitments, but full compliance of those rules may not become a reality for a quarter
of a century, says AT&T president
Looking at the current business environment in China, there is lots of
positive news for foreign investors to cheer about, AT&T (China) president Arthur
Kobler said that the China Business Conference 2002.
China has continued strong growth in the midst of a sluggish world
economy. Its robust exports are increasing. The government has raised the salaries of
civil servants. A leadership transition promises continuity, and finally, U.S.-China
relations are in the process of strengthening shared interests.
"All of this has resulted in a huge increase of foreign investment to
record levels this year, behind which are several key trends," he said.
The first of these is the major upgrade in manufacturing investment to tap
the domestic and foreign markets. This year, 15 per cent of all foreign investment in
China has been in IT, which illustrates that companies no longer simply view China as a
cheap assembly line, he said.
Second, is that more companies are developing research and development
centres in China. A few years ago, foreign companies set up R&D centres mostly as a
symbolic gesture to comply with the government's requests to do so. Now these companies
are investing billions to set up core R&D centres to develop their businesses.
And thirdly, more companies are setting up their regional headquarters on
the Mainland.
"I have not mentioned the World Trade Organisation yet, because I
think the effects of WTO have not yet been felt in terms of investors' decisions; we have
not seen the impact yet," Mr Kobler said
China's entry into the WTO was a watershed event, but implementation of
its WTO commitments has just begun and it will take a generation for the country to be
transformed from state capitalism into a private sector-led market economy, he said.
"In light of this long transition, I think it is reasonable to expect
this next change will take a generation to complete. I think the first year of
implementation of WTO has indicated how difficult this transition will be," he said.
The Mainland government has shown its strong commitment to compliance, and
Mr Kobler concedes that concrete steps have been taken in that thousands of laws and
regulations have been amended and that thousands of civil servants have been trained.
"But at the same time we have seen a number of concerns, like
protection of intellectual property rights ... and the emergence of strong and entrenched
interests that seem to be dragging their heels in certain sectors," he said.
"Now that China has taken the step of joining the WTO, now comes the
hard part: implementation."