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COVER STORY                                                  December  2001 Issue


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Putting trade negotiations back on track

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Chamber Assistant Director for Business Policy, Dr WK Chan, reports from the Qatari capital Doha where the World Trade Organisation's fourth Ministerial Conference was held

"Historic" was the most oft-uttered word during the Fourth Ministerial Conference of the World Trade Organisation, held on November 9-14. Indeed, what happened in the Qatari capital of Doha was nothing less than history in the making.

For a start, in the middle of the conference the world trade body found its coverage expanded by one-fourth of humanity. The conference saw the approval of China and Chinese Taipei as members of the WTO. Other than welcoming the most populous country, the ministerial also provided the occasion for China to truly rise to the world stage.

Perhaps more importantly, a new round of comprehensive multilateral trade negotiations was successfully launched, as a result of six days of gruelling negotiations.

Ministers in conference

The ministerial conference opened on November 9 at a curious time of 5:30 p.m. It began with an address by Qatari Emir Sheikh Hamad bin Khalifa Al-Thani, followed by speeches by his trade minister Youssef Hussain Kamal, WTO Director General Mike Moore and others.

All speakers, in their opening addresses, alluded to the importance of developing country consideration in launching a new round. Mike Moore's speech set the mood for the difficult negotiations ahead: "We all know that nothing has been agreed at this stage, and that the documents sent to ministers for their consideration are merely drafts. Deep differences remain. But they are clear and businesslike drafts, providing a good basis for work and for the decisions which you will be called upon to take at the end of the conference."

The ministerial speech making began on November 10. USTR Bob Zoellick talked about a growth agenda as a solution to the global slowdown. He also called for a separate declaration on access to medicines, one of the most difficult subjects of negotiations. Canadian Minister Pierre Pettigrew thought it "unfortunate that members have not been able to agree on the need to ensure the WTO works with the International Labour Organisation to advance core labour standards."

Japan alluded to "necessary clarification and improvement of rules on anti-dumping," and lent its support to starting negotiations on investment and competition, as well as "further discussion" on trade and environment. E.U.'s Pascal Lamy called for flexibility on the part of all participants in order to make Doha a success, warning that "it is a dangerous game to push others always to be first to show flexibility." Some delegations, he said, "play on everybody else's risk aversion to try to force others to adjust their positions."

Hong Kong's Chau Tak-hay mentioned China's accession as a huge step forward for the multilateral trading system, but pointed out that "Hong Kong will continue to be a separate member of the WTO using the name "Hong Kong, China." Under the "One Country Two Systems" principle, we will continue to be a separate economic entity and a separate customs territory."

Thus continued the speeches. At the same time, the real business of the ministerial, to negotiate on an agreement to launch a new round of trade negotiations, continued much more intensively.

Hard ball negotiations

An overriding aim of the Doha Conference was to agree on a declaration to launch a new round of trade talks. It was no easy task, considering the monumental failure in the previous conference in Seattle to reach any agreement.

If the task was daunting, at least the problem was manageable. A nine-page draft had already been prepared (named "Harbinson text" after its author) and it contained seven disputed clauses for negotiation. In Seattle the draft was 34 pages and had 402 brackets.

A revised version of the Harbinson text was circulated on November 13. By 9:00 a.m. the next day, another update was produced. Eventually, a closing plenary session was convened in the afternoon of November 14 in which the final version was adopted as the agreed Ministerial Declaration.

The debate, and the clincher

Agriculture and medicine were the two issues that were uppermost in negotiators' minds when they gathered in Doha. Developing countries wanted greater access to both. The European Union's export subsidies regime was considered the biggest obstacle to agreement on agriculture, while the TRIPs agreement (Trade Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights) presented problems on trade in medicine and healthcare. In the latter case, the main bone of contention was between the U.S. and Switzerland on the one hand, who wanted patent protection for medical products, and developing countries led by Brazil who looked for greater freedom by national governments to safeguard public health. The E.U.'s strong positions on starting negotiations on environment and labour standards also made negotiations more complicated.

As the negotiations progressed, a solution on TRIPs gradually emerged. A deal was struck between the U.S. and Brazil, and a separate declaration on TRIPs and public health was developed thus providing a way out of the contentious debate.

On agriculture, the E.U. refused to accommodate any text that alluded to removal of export subsidies, but found itself isolated after Japan indicated support for the text on November 12. Eventually, a solution was found by inserting the caveat which read – 'without prejudicing the outcome of the negotiations' while keeping the wording for phasing out of export subsidies.

Much debate also surrounded two of the issues from the Singapore ministerial, namely, investment and competition policy. At one end was a call for negotiations to start; at the other extreme some developing countries would prefer no negotiations. At one stage a compromise was offered to begin negotiations while allowing members to opt-out; this was met with a counter proposal to defer decision over whether to negotiate two years later. The final compromise in the Ministerial Declaration was to mandate negotiations to take place two years later, while meantime continuing to discuss on what to negotiate.

But even that compromised text came with a last-minute surprise from India, who insisted that the text on investment and competition policy was not acceptable. The problem was resolved after the chairman, the WTO director general, U.S. and E.U. went to the 'green room' and hammered out a final solution, which consisted of keeping the text but with a separate minute to explain the wording of the paragraphs.

With Minister Kamal's gavel down on the declaration, the making of a new world trade order thus began.

WTO Ministerial Snapshot

After six days of gruelling negotiations in Doha, Qatar, the 142 members of the World Trade Organisation agreed on November 14 to launch a new round of trade talks to further liberalise global trade. The new round launched in Doha is expected to result in much more substantive liberalisation and market opening. In particular, the new round is characterised by a development agenda with the explicit aim of benefiting less developed countries.

The main points include.

Agriculture

There will be comprehensive negotiations to improve market access and reduce export subsidies. The common ground for negotiations is to be agreed in March 2003 and further concessions to be submitted two ministerial conferences later.

Services

The services negotiations will proceed to the request/offer stage (i.e. negotiations on sectoral liberalisation and market openings), with June 2002 as the deadline for requests and March 2003 the deadline for offers.

Non-agricultural products

Comprehensive negotiations will commence on eliminating tariffs and non-tariff barriers, with special considerations for developing countries.

TRIPs

Negotiations on the establishment of a multilateral system of notification and registration of geographical indications for wines and spirits will be completed by the next ministerial. The TRIPs Council will also examine the relationship between TRIPs and biological diversity, and traditional knowledge and folklore. The relationship between TRIPs and public health and access to medicine will be covered by a separate declaration.

Singapore issues

For the following four issues from the Singapore Ministerial Declaration, negotiations will begin after the next ministerial, where the agenda and substance of negotiations will be determined. These four issues are:

- trade and investment

- trade and competition policy

- transparency in government procurement

- trade facilitation

WTO rules

Negotiations will proceed on clarifying and improving the Agreement on Subsidies and Countervailing Measures, as well as the provisions relating to regional trade agreements.

Dispute Settlement Understanding

There will be negotiations on improvements and clarifications of the Dispute Settlement Understanding.

Trade and environment

Negotiations will begin on the relationship between existing trade and environment, particularly on the effect of environmental measures on market access, relevant provisions in TRIPs, and environmental labelling.

E-commerce

The Work Programme on Electronic Commerce will continue. The moratorium on customs duties on electronic transactions will maintain until the next ministerial.

Developing country issues

Several work programmes will be instituted on:

- Small economies

- Trade, debt and finance

- Trade and technology transfer

- Technical cooperation and capacity building

- Least Developed Countries

- Special and differential treatments for developing countries

Deadline

The negotiations are to be completed by January 2005. A stocktaking will be conducted at the next Ministerial Conference, which will be held no later than 24 months from the date of this ministerial.

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