Opportunities in property and retail
in the Pearl River Delta
By Raymond Kwok
The confident tone that invariably impresses me when I visit Pearl River Delta cities
is a sure sign of a phenomenally expanding economy.
Across the entire delta, real GDP grew an average of 16.9 per cent during 1980-2000,
far outstripping that of Guangdong and of China as a whole. Wages and salaries continue to
rise, as does consumer purchasing power. Per capita GDP in 2000 for the delta reached
US$3,360, equivalent to that of the world's upper-middle income countries. Between 1980
and 2000, the average annual increase in retail sales value of consumer goods sold in
Guangdong alone was 19.8per cent.
The property market is also moving rapidly ahead. In Guangdong, investment in real
estate development of commodity buildings grew to 65.6 billion yuan in 2000 from just 3.2
billion yuan in 1990. Over the same period, per capita floor space for urban residents
rose to 20.1 square metres from 12.1 square metres. In Shenzhen, the floor space of
commodity buildings sold (including pre-sale of projects under construction) amounted to
6.1 million square metres in 2000, of which 5.6 million square metres was residential
space.
Such amazing growth is characteristically not fuelled by Government initiatives. It is
the natural outcome of a high population concentration and a vibrant market. Taiwanese and
Japanese investors have correctly read the signs, and my questions to you today are when
and how can Hong Kong figure even more prominently in the growth and consolidation of the
Pearl River Delta economy.
When? Hong Kong's property developers and retailers must now move rapidly into the
delta if they wish to share in the promising returns and to strengthen their credibility
as industry experts. Early footholds are the key, as is timely decision making once we
arrive. Market leadership in the delta's property and retail sectors will be determined by
how quickly top management can respond - and in particular by how rapidly it can appraise
all aspects of a deal using its superior market knowledge. In such an economy, how wisely
we use our time will count at least as much as how wisely we use each square foot.
Decision-making on the Mainland is now far less burdened with needless bureaucratic
involvement. The delta is thus increasingly able to embrace modern management styles and
professional project leadership in the property and retail sectors. Here Hong Kong has a
very clear edge, particularly in its ability to integrate these two sectors.
How should Hong Kong participate?
From a geographical perspective, integration should define our approach in the delta.
Hong Kong must look for every possible opportunity to enter into the delta's emerging
cross-city alliances.
We should also consider how isolation is giving way to integration across the region as
a whole. The western part of the delta is largely dominated by manufacturing for China's
own domestic markets, while the eastern half is more dedicated to manufacturing for
exports. This gap needs bridging both physically and economically. Here, Hong Kong's
skills and knowledge can help create a more powerful economic bloc, of which it will in
turn form an essential part.
Next, Hong Kong scores as the international city of Southern China and as such a vital
link to the latest business and social trends. In particular, cross-boundary co-operation
between the Mainland and Hong Kong is already showing that Hong Kong has a major role to
play in demonstrating the importance to international investors of the rule of law and an
upright civil service.
Indeed, the bedrock on which Hong Kong's exemplary success has been built can now help
further the prosperity of a far larger economic and geographic entity, and we should make
the most of this unmatched advantage.
In social and economic terms, I would say that the Pearl River Delta has today reached
the same point in its evolution as Hong Kong reached in the 1970s. This puts us in an
excellent position to transfer our historically proven knowledge and skills in getting
things done fast and efficiently for the benefit of society as a whole.
Bold visions like the development of Hong Kong's new towns have always been matched by
vigorous support from the private sector. In fact the private sector has typically led the
way. To take just one example, the development by Sun Hung Kai Properties of integrated
large-scale residential-retail complexes such as the pioneering and highly successful New
Town Plaza in Shatin set standards and met aspirations very similar to those now emerging
in the rapidly changing society of the Pearl River Delta.
This is just the kind of integrated development that the Pearl River Delta needs today.
At its heart lies a determination to provide solid and sustained service to the people,
seen as citizens as well as customers. This is how we at Sun Hung Kai Properties have
built our reputation in Hong Kong and this is how we plan to enlarge it in the delta
region, with its massive concentration of people and its unmatched spending power.
Of course, the nature of the market and the pace of social change both need to be
carefully gauged. Even as we seek to meet popular expectations in the delta and to play a
role in its social development, we must make sure that we do not get too far in front. New
concepts must be introduced gradually so that their real benefits are properly appreciated
and valued and are systematically absorbed into people's everyday thinking. Here the
strong cultural, psychological and linguistic ties between Hong Kong and the Pearl River
Delta give us another unmatched advantage over other players.
Another important consideration is how new properties are priced. For the moment, Hong
Kong and the Pearl River Delta must be considered as essentially different markets and I
see little point in making direct comparisons or discussing the precise influence of one
market on the other. Obviously, the Pearl River Delta cannot today support Hong Kong
prices, but it will always be the case that a quality product, properly perceived as such,
can command a premium price. Our overriding aim must thus always be to differentiate our
offers clearly, highlighting solid accomplishments and tangible benefits and telling a
credible and compelling story.
Another factor that makes the Pearl River Delta so attractive to top flight developers
is that it is a market without any dominant players. This leaves ample room for growth.
Driving this growth will be superior knowledge and experience. We can offer what we have
learned about building a strong brand based on top quality, professional management
techniques, high levels of customer service and an emphasis on training. These so-called
intangibles are really the assets that make all the difference between a mere building
that seeks to maximize returns per square foot and a valuable development that has been
reliably designed to channel and meet specific user needs.
The experience that we at Sun Hung Kai Properties have already gained in Beijing,
Shanghai and Guangzhou has already shown the importance of these principles. We are
confident that we can continue to apply them successfully throughout the Pearl River
Delta. Our current activity targeting mainly local residents includes a phased residential
project in Zhongshan. Phase 1 - about 400,000 sq ft floor area - is already under
construction. We are also reviewing a residential project near Guangzhou's new airport.
Let me note finally that highly reputable retail businesses are already moving north of
the boundary in order to take advantage of the delta's unabated spending power. Many of
these businesses are our valued customers and long-term shopping mall partners at Sun Hung
Kai Properties. They tell us that they want us to go north with them because they know and
appreciate our products and services and depend on the quality we can provide.
I am happy to share with you the names of just some of our important anchor tenants who
are already operating in the Pearl River Delta or who plan to do so:
In the food and beverage sector, we have Caf?de Coral and Tao Heung Seafood Hotpot
Restaurant; fashion and apparel are represented by Bossini, Giordano, Baleno, G2000, U2
and Moiselle; leading convenience stores 7-11 and Circle K are also committed as are
leading supermarket chains ParknShop and Wellcome; on the department store front Jusco is
a major player; finally, furniture and household goods are represented by Pricerite, who
are opening a 40,000 sq.ft. outlet in Guangzhou this August and another one in Shenzhen in
2003.
Citing the forward-looking approach to the delta of such strong brands and household
names brings me back to where I started - the vision of serving an enormous and
concentrated consumer bloc whose rapidly growing disposable income is matched by its
rising aspirations. Hong Kong can and must quickly penetrate this market, bringing its
finely tuned retailing, logistics and distribution skills and its property development
knowhow together in a powerful synergy.
There are many reasons, then, for Hong Kong to seek integration with the entire Pearl
River Delta region and to ensure that it is in the forefront as a prime mover in the drive
for greater co-operation. I believe that as responsible and experienced developers we are
well placed to help integrate the development of the Pearl River Delta into a coherent
economic force.
Because the prospects are so enticing, we should of course be particularly on our guard
against the possibility of over-supply in the market. The solution to this problem is not
increased Government interference with market forces, but a stabilizing Government
presence together with a predictable supply of land suited to market needs. A policy of
releasing land strategically in line with carefully thought out long-term development
needs will, I believe, turn out to be an essential factor in the Pearl River Delta success
story.
Again, we in Hong Kong have extensive understanding and experience of managing and
working with complex land supply and demand issues. And this is just one final reason I
put before you today to support my contention that Hong Kong is in an ideal position to
help make an integrated Pearl River Delta work for everyone's benefit.
Thank you.
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