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China's Entry into the WTO and the Impact on Hong Kong Business

18 January 2000

Implications for banking


by K C Kwok Chief Economist, NE Asia, Standard Chartered Bank

China's banking reform needs to be stepped up

  • A lot of the country's savings are misallocated to inefficient enterprises
  • Credit-worthy firms denied credit
  • Many firms forced to take unnecessary risk
  • Country's financial stability could be an issue if problems not dealt with quickly


WTO to stimulate banking reform

Faster pace of opening up to foreign banks

  • RMB business with local enterprises 2 years after accession
  • consumer banking with Chinese citizens after 5 years
  • geographical restrictions will be lifted

Local banks will have to catch up faster


Opportunities in China

  • China's corporate sector reform will require a lot of equity and debt financing
  • China's consumer banking service is still at an early stage of development
  • M&A/alliances?
  • Banking in China in general has to modernize

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